Buying a home is not a decision to be taken lightly. Personal finance
gurus warn against purchasing unless you plan to keep it for a minimum
of five years and, since the housing bubble burst, many say it’s best to
buy only if it fits your lifestyle – not your investing portfolio.
For first-time home buyers shopping for a permanent, full-time
residence, it’s advice to heed. But say you do simply want a place to
park some of your hard-earned money, perhaps a fixer-upper you could
occupy for a few years or maybe a house you believe you could rent out
right away and easily oversee?
You wouldn’t be alone: investment-homes sales jumped 64.5% from 2010
to 2011, with investors making up 27% of all single-family, condo and
co-op purchases last year, according to the National Association of
Realtors. And it’s no wonder why. Home affordability is at the highest
level ever in the 42 years that NAR has been tracking it. Nationally,
home prices are down more than 30% from their 2006 peak. Mortgage rates
hover near all-time lows, with 30-year fixed loans just under 4%. And
while the 10-year Treasury note yields around 2% and a 1-year CD an even
stingier 1% or less, housing investments, specifically homes purchased
as rental properties, return a 6.3% yield on average, according to
Goldman Sachs.
So you have cash or financing to make a purchase, you’re aware of the
responsibilities that come with homeownership, and despite the woes
continuing to hinder a full-on housing market recovery, you believe in
brick and mortar investments. Now comes the tricky part: where to buy
that house.
“A lot of what we read is national but you have to take housing down
to the local level and look at the reasons why a market may be turning
around, may be a good place to buy,” says Steve Berkowitz, chief
executive of Realtor.com, a Campbell, Calif.-based home listing site.
To determine the best places to invest in a real estate purchase now,
Realtor.com created a list which sorted through February housing and
jobs data for 146 Metropolitan Areas and Metropolitan Divisions (cities
and their neighboring suburbs) across the U.S. The company, which
boasts millions of home listings filtered from over 900 Multiple Listing
Services, looked at listing price data, sales data and inventory trends
such as the amount of homes available in each market and number of days
on market. Realtor.com also utilized the peak-to-trough home price
index from Fiserv Case-Shiller, which tracks how much home prices have
fallen in the past five years and can serve as an indicator of whether
they have bottomed. Lastly, unemployment rates from the Bureau of Labor
Statistics were factored into the rankings, since jobs (or lack thereof) are a leading indicator of housing demand.
If you want to buy low, foreclosure-riddled Tucson, Ariz., may be just the place. It ranks No. 1 on this list.
“In the case of Tucson, you are looking at foreclosures dropping back
quite a bit coupled with a stable employment market,” says Berkowitz.
The area has a 7.8% unemployment rate, a tad lower than the national
average of 8.2%, helped by the presence of sizable employers in the
recession-resistant education and government sectors, including the
University of Arizona, Davis-Monthan Air Force Base and the U.S. Army
Intelligence Center. All of this suggests Tucson’s housing market may be
bottoming.
Here are the top 5 cities to buy a home:
5. Fort Worth, TX
Median List Price: $160,000 (up 8% y-o-y)
Inventory Level: 8,242 homes (down 26.5% y-o-y)
Median Days On Market: 79 days (down 19% y-o-y)
Price Drop From Peak: 4.7%
Unemployment Rate: 7.1%
4. Baltimore, MD
Median List Price: $239,500 (down 3% y-o-y)
Inventory Level: 13,053 homes (down 25.5% y-o-y)
Median Days On Market: 120 days (down 4% y-o-y)
Price Drop From Peak: 22.3%
Unemployment Rate: 7.5%
3. Kansas City, MO
Median List Price: $134,150 (up 0.3% y-o-y)
Inventory Level: 7,539 homes (down 21% y-o-y)
Median Days On Market: 103 days (down 15% y-o-y)
Price Drop From Peak: 8.8%
Unemployment Rate: 7.7%
Inventory Level: 7,539 homes (down 21% y-o-y)
Median Days On Market: 103 days (down 15% y-o-y)
Price Drop From Peak: 8.8%
Unemployment Rate: 7.7%
2. Austin, TX
Median List Price: $229,500 (up 12% y-o-y)
Inventory Level: 8,329 homes for sale (down 19% y-o-y)
Median Days On Market: 77 (down 21% y-o-y)
Price Drop From Peak: 2.9%
Unemployment Rate: 6.1%
Inventory Level: 8,329 homes for sale (down 19% y-o-y)
Median Days On Market: 77 (down 21% y-o-y)
Price Drop From Peak: 2.9%
Unemployment Rate: 6.1%
1. Tucson, AZ
Median List Price: $170,000 (up 3% y-o-y)
Inventory Level: 6,600 homes for sale (down 23% y-o-y)
Median Days On Market: 86 (down 12% y-o-y)
Price Drop From Peak: 45.1%
Unemployment Rate: 7.8%
Inventory Level: 6,600 homes for sale (down 23% y-o-y)
Median Days On Market: 86 (down 12% y-o-y)
Price Drop From Peak: 45.1%
Unemployment Rate: 7.8%
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